ASX to open higher as Wall Street rallies to brink of a record

2 months ago 23

By STAN CHOE

June 27, 2025 — 6.28am

The Australian sharemarket is set to open higher, with futures at 6.20am AEDT pointing to a rise of 52 points, or 0.6 per cent, at the open as US stocks edge closer to a record high. The ASX edged marginally lower on Thursday after tracking a directionless session on Wall Street.

The Australian dollar strengthened. It was fetching $US 65.46¢ cents at 6.20am AEDT.

US stocks ran up to the edge of another record. The S&P 500 rose 0.8 per cent on Thursday and is just 0.05 per cent below its all-time closing high, which was set in February.

Wall Street’s worries about Trump’s tariffs have receded, but they have not disappeared.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied 0.9 per cent, and the Nasdaq gained 1 per cent.

Treasury yields eased in the bond market following a couple of better-than-expected reports on the US economy, including on jobless claims and orders for long-lasting manufactured goods. Stock indexes were mixed across much of Europe and Asia.

McCormick helped lead the market after the seller of cooking spices delivered a better-than-expected profit report. The company also gave a forecast for profit over its full fiscal year that topped analysts’ expectations, including planned efforts to offset increased costs caused by US President Donald Trump’s tariffs.

Over the longer term, it’s been big technology stocks that have led the market for years and since the S&P 500 fell roughly 20 per cent below its record during the spring on worries about tariffs.

Chip company Nvidia, which has been the poster child of the frenzy around artificial-intelligence technology, added 1 per cent. It’s the most valuable company in the US sharemarket after rushing nearly 62 per cent higher since the market hit a bottom on April 8, towering over the S&P 500’s gain of 23 per cent. Another AI darling, Super Micro Computer, rose 5.5 per cent to bring its gain since April 8 to more than 50 per cent.

Micron Technology, which sells computer memory and data storage, swung between gains and losses after reporting stronger profit and revenue for the latest quarter than analysts expected. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra said it’s seeing AI-driven memory demand, and the company gave a forecast for profit in the current quarter that topped analysts’ expectations. Its stock was most recently down 1.7 per cent.

Wall Street’s worries about Trump’s tariffs have receded since the president shocked the world in April with stiff proposed levies, but they have not disappeared. The wait is still on to see how big the tariffs will ultimately be, how much they will hurt the economy and how much they will push up inflation.

The economy so far seems to be holding up OK, though slowing, and more reports arrived on Thursday bolstering that. One said that orders for washing machines and other manufactured goods that last at least three years grew by more last month than economists expected. A second said fewer US workers filed for unemployment benefits last week, a potential signal of fewer layoffs.

Chip company Nvidia, the most valuable company in the US sharemarket, is edging higher.

A third report said the US economy shrank by more during the first three months of 2025 than earlier estimated. But many economists say those numbers got distorted by how many US companies rushed early this year to buy foreign products ahead of tariffs, and they’re expecting a better performance in upcoming months.

Following the reports, Treasury yields swivelled up and down in the bond market before easing.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.24 per cent from 4.29 per cent late on Wednesday. The two-year Treasury yield, which more closely tracks expectations for what the Federal Reserve will do, fell to 3.71 per cent from 3.74 per cent late on Wednesday.

Analysts said yields may be feeling downwards pressure because of a report from The Wall Street Journal saying Trump could name his nominee to replace Fed chair Jerome Powell unusually early, in an attempt to undermine him. That could hurt confidence among investors about the Fed’s capability to make unpopular decisions when it comes to fighting inflation.

Powell has been repeating recently that the Federal Reserve is waiting to see how tariffs will affect the economy before deciding when to resume cutting interest rates. It has been on pause this year because lower rates can help give inflation more fuel, along with giving the economy a boost.

Trump, though, has been adamant about wanting cuts to rates sooner and has insulted Powell repeatedly. Two of his appointees to the Fed have also said recently that they would consider cutting rates as soon as the Fed’s next meeting in about a month.

“Yields fell, the dollar weakened, and break evens rose, all suggesting that a puppet of the White House in the seat of the Chair could be bad for inflation,” said Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management. But Jacobsen said decisions on interest rates would still rest with a committee of Fed officials, not just the chair, and other officials could possibly keep the new leader “in check if needed.”

In sharemarkets abroad, indexes were mixed in Europe following a mixed finish in Asia.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose 1.6 per cent, and South Korea’s Kospi fell 0.9 per cent for two of the bigger moves.