All Australians would receive $3300 a year in exchange for accepting a higher and broader GST under a plan which proponents claim would boost the budget by $28 billion a year while driving up the nation’s living standards.
Before this month’s economic roundtable, independent MP Kate Chaney has backed an idea first floated by leading Australian economist Richard Holden to lift the GST to 15 per cent and extend the tax on food, education, health and childcare services and water and sewerage.
Independent MP Kate Chaney says a higher GST, plus a $3300 rebate to all adults, would help reform the tax system.Credit: Getty Images
This would raise an additional $92.5 billion in its first full year of operation, but would be offset by a $3300 rebate to every person over the age of 18 that would effectively erase the impact of the higher GST on the first $22,000 of an individual’s annual purchases.
The rebates would leave low- and middle-income earners up to $371 a year better off but slug the nation’s top 20 per cent more than $2200 annually, costing the government $68.8 billion. That would leave the Commonwealth with almost $24 billion a year to put towards other services, paying down debt or reducing personal income tax levels.
Chaney, who has been working with Holden on the concept for the past two years, said the roundtable had to be open to all tax reform options.
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“GST is an efficient tax – it is hard to avoid – and with lower- and middle-income groups potentially better off under this proposal, it can be progressive. Unlike personal income tax, it doesn’t hamper productivity,” she said.
Holden, who on Thursday will release a paper with fellow economist Rosalind Dixon on the so-called “progressive GST”, said the change would benefit younger Australians who under current tax arrangements paid a disproportionate amount of personal income tax.
“Our proposal would make our taxation system more efficient, make our economy more dynamic and provide the impetus for productivity growth,” he said.
While the government has argued it will not rule in or out any proposal before the roundtable, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has been clear he has little appetite for a change to the GST.
When the tax was introduced by the Howard government, an agreement was struck with the states and territories that they would get all revenue raised by the GST.
Treasurer Jim Chalmers on Wednesday said the government had not been “beavering away” to find a way around the Howard-era deal with the states.
“And I think the prime minister’s comments make it pretty clear about how we’re approaching issues around the GST,” he said.
Fellow independent Allegra Spender, an advocate for tax reform and the only non-major party MP invited to the roundtable, said the summit should confront the size of the NDIS, citing research from McKinsey and the e61 Institute showing the non-market economy was holding back productivity.
Spender stressed that the NDIS was transformative for disabled people but warned that if the current 8 per cent yearly growth target was not tightened, the ballooning $50 billion program risked losing its social licence.
“Many people in the community have raised this with me … The participants are concerned that if it’s not sustainable, it loses the goodwill of the people then it is actually under threat,” Spender told this masthead.
Wentworth MP Allegra Spender, the only independent at the roundtable, says the government has to find ways to reduce spending pressures across the care economy.Credit: Alex Ellinghausen
“If the non-market economy is going backwards, and it has seen virtually no measurable productivity growth in the last 20 years, then it is very hard for the overall economy to be growing productively”.
Spender said she expected spending on the care economy to be discussed on day one of the roundtable in a session on making government services efficient.
The independent Centre for Policy Development think tank, in its submission to the roundtable, said changes to the GST and other elements of the tax system had to be on the table.
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It said while lifting productivity went beyond tax changes and reduction of red tape, the government could make substantial gains by reducing its reliance on income taxes and moving toward consumption and economic rent taxes.
This includes increasing the GST rate and broadening the number of goods and services captured by the tax, creating a single resource rent tax, indexing personal income tax thresholds to inflation, axing taxes such as those on insurance duties, and replacing state stamp duties with a land tax.
The right-leaning Centre for Independent Studies on Thursday will warn that without a lift in productivity, Australians’ living standards will continue to ebb.
In an essay for the centre on the productivity outlook, economist Jim Cox argues Australian businesses are not adopting new technologies as fast as overseas competitors, regulation – especially at the Commonwealth level – has “exploded” in recent years, while the country is undergoing a cultural change that puts environmental protection above economic growth.
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Cox said a new wave of micro-economic reform, smarter regulation and a national conversation about the drivers of innovation were needed.
“Prosperity is not automatic. It requires deliberate choices: investment in skills, encouragement of risk-taking, and institutions that reward creativity rather than rent-seeking,” he said.
Meanwhile, the ACTU wants the government to introduce a national skills levy that would compel medium to large employers to contribute to the cost of training workers.
Unless medium to large businesses with an annual turnover of above $500,000 spend 1.5 per cent of payroll on training, the ACTU argues they should pay a levy of the same amount.
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